To be honest, this might sound a bit outrageous but.. I, personally think, that banner #9 should be disqualified. Does everyone remember a specific someone asking for themes? A theme is a theme, and the theme for this banner competition is Applejack.
I've been speculating about the about of votes, and I'm not diss'ing the banner that's winning, but it's definitely not the best out of the huge batch of banners that are in this competition, no matter what you say to back it up.
The previous competition is a prime example. There was a banner that looked great, but it didn't have a transparent background. Did it win? No. It lost horribly because no one really liked the character or preferred the other ponies instead. That is why themes were created. To remove biased opinions and likes or dislikes of one or more characters.
Banner #9, however, breaks this rule by adding an extra pony into the banner, which is Rainbow Dash. It's basically increasing the likelihood of the banner being voted due to people who think that Rainbow Dash is the best pony.
I myself love Rainbow Dash, and she's my favourite pony, but that doesn't mean a banner with Rainbow Dash should win, because the theme isn't Applejack Shippings, it's just simply Applejack.
I'm totally gonna get hated for posting this, but someone has to do it.