Mirage

Users
  • Content Count

    1553
  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    15

Mirage last won the day on February 28

Mirage had the most brohoofed content!

Community Reputation

22226 Brohoofs

Recent Profile Visitors

38746 profile views

About Mirage

  • Rank
    Reformed Changeling
  • Birthday December 6

My Little Pony: Friendship is Magic

  • Best Pony
    Rarity
  • Best Anthropomorphic FiM Race
    Alicorn
  • Best Princess
    Princess Luna
  • Best Secondary/Recurring Character
    Vinyl Scratch
  • Best Episode
    Luna Eclipsed
  • Best Song
    Love is in Bloom
  • Best Season

Profile Information

  • Gender
    Male
  • Location
    USA
  • Personal Motto
    Dreams are for real.
  • Interests
    Gaming, science and stuff, mah poneh's, writing, music, abstract art, horses, friends

Contact Methods

  • Discord Username
    Mirage77#9721

MLP Forums

  • Opt-in to site ads?
    No
  • Favorite Forum Section
    Show Discussion
  1. Yay for getting 22222 brohoofs! :yay:

  2. Mirage

    Luna Fan Club

    Tis a night of wonder. Do you ever wonder? Are you at peace alone? The stars remind us of the unknown and all that is beyond our comprehension. How true, how beautiful, how frightening it all is. Home is elsewhere indeed...the darkness a doorway.
  3. Still a lot of activity here and everypony seems very happy.

    I'm so glad!

    Please take care, and let the magic of friendship grow.

    1. Show previous comments  4 more
    2. Loyal Defender

      Loyal Defender

      As the magic of friendship grows, so too does your strength.

    3. Flutterstep

      Flutterstep

      Mirage is back! :yay::LunaMCM:

    4. LyraLover 💚

      LyraLover 💚

      It's so great to see you around here again! I hope your day has been a good one! :grin:

  4. MUHAHAHA!

     

    Oh so you've forgotten about me?

     

    It would behoove you to remember this night for if you don't offer thine Princess of the Night her due in treats thou shalt be twice gobbled!

    2012615 - alicorn, animated, ethereal mane, evil laugh, fangs, female, gif,  laughing, mare, moon, nightmare moon, pony, safe, screencap, spread wings,  starry mane, talking, the cutie re-mark, wings - Derpibooru

    And we shall enjoy it!

     

    Lovely little ponies...do take care in the darkness...

     

    We shall be lurking... :orly:

    1. Show previous comments  7 more
    2. Stone Cold Steve Tuna

      Stone Cold Steve Tuna

      I’m glad to see you back!

    3. Totally Nyx

      Totally Nyx

      *gasp*

      Doth my eyes deceive me? :love:

      *gives every last piece of candy*

      Welcome back! :D

    4. Mirage

      Mirage

      Thank you!

      You're all spared for another year...as for others...hmph. :D

       

  5. I miss you, my friend. I hope you're doing well, even if you're not on the forums. :coco:

    Cloudchaser still loves you. ;)

    1143478714_cutecloudchaser.thumb.jpg.b320657fdc39bac56e8d044394e910d0.jpg

  6. Hi there! You still around? :ooh:

    1. Mirage

      Mirage

      Indeed!

  7. I hope you are doing okay. I miss ya. :sunny:

    *hugs*

    1. Mirage

      Mirage

      *hugs* Miss you too.

  8. Hello, my friend! I hope that you are doing well. :LunaMCM: I miss you. :( *hugs*

    2340187.thumb.png.7ffca210333bb7192287122771532e33.png

    1. Show previous comments  1 more
    2. Twilight Luna

      Twilight Luna

      Happy Nightmare Night, my friend. Your pile of candy is ready for you. :ithastolookpretty:

    3. Mirage

      Mirage

      I love candy...^_^

    4. Twilight Luna

      Twilight Luna

      I hope your loyal subjects brought you lots of candy. :nom:

  9. Hiya Mirage. I hope you're doing alright out there in this mad world. :kindness:

    Yeah, that's basically it, just popping in to say "hi". :adorkable:

    1. Mirage

      Mirage

      Cute avatar *squueeeee*

      I'm fairing well in the tumultuous battle for freedom, justice and more grilled cheese! 

  10. Greeting ponies! I extend my hope that you are all doing well and being brave. I have been working hard and trying to stay focused, so all is well with me! <3

    Stay beautiful and cheer up! I love you. *hugs*

     

    "Do not look upon the world with fear and loathing - bravely face whatever the gods challenge you with." - Sensei Morihei Ueshiba

     

     

    1. Show previous comments  10 more
    2. Totally Nyx

      Totally Nyx

      Welcome back Mirage! Glad to hear you've been doing well. :D

      And thank you for that video. I'm glad there's people who realize that. :adorkable:

    3. Mirage

      Mirage

      @Nsxile Oh my goodness!

      I don't mean to be negative either but, the data on this outbreak is tragically incomplete and unreliable. All the experts admit that. In fact, Europe is learning than many of the Chinese test kits have a 70% failure rate. Also, the Chinese numbers are approximately 20 times higher than reported. It was a huge cover up.

      It's way too early to use a CFR (case fatality rate) as a risk factor when we know that many people either do not have symptoms or are so mild they don't report it. The IFR (Infected Mortality Rate, that is, ALL infections vs mortality) is way, way, way lower than 5%. Not to mention the CFR is different in pretty much every region is it measured, with Italy being the highest (because testing is not accurate at all). The reason certain regions get overwhelmed is because the virus spreads so rapidly and causes a very high rate of infection after a certain point (Influenza R0 is 1.3, coronavirus is about 2.8). The exponential growth of infections in densely populated areas is crazy high. This is the real 'problem' of this infection. It's spread is incredibly fast. Too fast for healthcare buildings.

      But that doesn't mean you're going to die if you are infected. In fact, the overall risk is extremely low. But when 100,000 people are exposed to it in a city, you get 10,000 sick people in a week flooding the hospital. Do you see how that's different than the flu (most of the time)? Infection rate is over 3 times higher, sometimes 10 times higher, so lots of people get sick at the same time. There are many variables involved. So to imply that every person is at 5% risk of dying is not accurate. Some people are at 100% risk of dying if they get it. Most people are at 0%. If you're at high risk, and there's data to inform who is at risk - then you need to take precautions. The world is shut down now - no use complaining about the rest of us sacrificing literally everything to please the drama queens in the media.

      The data, the politics, and rumors, the fear - it's all a mess. It's too early to determine the real numbers. But keep this in mind - the reason for lockdowns is because there are so many people that can spread the disease and not even know they have it. So many people that only experience mild symptoms. This indicates it's rather easy for an average immune system to handle it. The people that are getting very sick or dying have underlying conditions - pretty much every doctor on the front line says that.

      So please, let's give each other some benefit of doubt. I want everyone to survive. My message is a positive one, and when people are afraid, they perceive everything as negative. So I'm not 'downplaying' and I'm not trying to blow this off as 'not serious'. I just reject the panic, the fear, and the click bait narrative.

      (Also, by testing 'everyone' meaning testing randomly, not just people who are sick, which is what most countries are doing because of lack of test kits...and reliable ones at that).

      Stay well! Stay healthy! We'll be okay! *hugs*

    4. Nsxile 🔥🐲

      Nsxile 🔥🐲

      There was also coverup in the number of deaths in China from the virus, not just the number of infected. I also wouldn't say that the risk is extremely low and healthy people have died from the virus who have had no underlying health conditions/  Also, your claim that it's way lower is not true: there are currently 1,309,439 confirmed cases of, and 72,638 deaths from SARSCoV2/COVID19. 72,638/1309439 = roughly 0.055. 0.055*100=5.5% fatalities (which the percentage has been increasing each time I've talked about it)... If you're saying that current figures do not matter because there are people who been missed out because they haven't been tested for it, then it would certainly skew the results, but there is also the possibility that the number of dead is higher considering some people will be dying at home and in care homes, and may be alone when they do so and not counted in the official figures, so arguably both the infection rate and death rate is higher. Also, that is not measuring recoveries vs deaths, in which case, the death rate would be even higher (72,638/273,546=0.2655*100=26.6%)... Although, that is too high imo and, as full testing has not been done of populations has not been done, likely somewhat inaccurate.  At present, there is no real way to tell, as there are testing kit shortages and it would be quite difficult to test hundreds of millions of people... But yes, you are correct in stating that it is too early to know the true number of infected, dead and recovered. Also, it might seem like its easy for the immune system, but its pretty good at remaining undetected and has killed people before that were young, healthy and had no underlying health conditions... Also, apparently your immune system can also end up killing you via a cytokine storm when it fights the virus. The good news is that 95% of those who contract the virus should survive and 80% won't require hospitalisation. Also, the reason your sacrificing much isn't to please drama queens in the media, but slow the spread to a manageable level so that it can be contained, reduce the number of fatalities and not overwhelm your hospitals.

      Also, thank you and I hope you stay safe and healthy too! :LunaMCM: *hugs back* :catface:

  11. Mirage

    Luna Fan Club

    You're welcome to share your favorite pics of our Dearest Princess. I dream of the warmth, and a little life without my bossy sister. tehe!!
  12. Hello ponies! I've been really busy, and tired, so I've been kinda offline past couple of days. I hope you all are doing well, and I already miss you!

    Please don't forget me. I won't forget you!

    1. Show previous comments  4 more
    2. Flutterstep

      Flutterstep

      No one could ever forget you, friend. :LunaMCM:

    3. Stone Cold Steve Tuna

      Stone Cold Steve Tuna

      I couldn’t forget you if I tried, and believe me, I don’t want to! I hope all is going well my friend. Stay safe!

    4. Totally Nyx

      Totally Nyx

      Take all the time you need to do what life needs you to do. We'll be here when you poke your head back in. :grin:

  13. @Mirage You and @Twilight Luna are the biggest Luna fans that I know on here!

    Have some Lunas!

    IMG_1766.thumb.JPG.c01031b01032f56741ff886901308be8.JPGIMG_1856.thumb.JPG.e2d70a6735c99e01d6597885da770338.JPG

    1. Mirage

      Mirage

      Tis true!

  14. Mirage

    Luna Fan Club

    @Twilight Luna As the Night is beautiful, so shall Our Princess be!