Why Does Everyone Still Think North And South Korea Will Reunite?

[Denim&Venöm 16,517]

With recent news of the summit, there's been a lot of talk on the two Koreas being on the road to unification. But why do people continue to hold onto this notion? 

Many citizens of the south don't care for it. Rebuilding the north and bringing it to the 21st century would be a monolithic financial, economic, political and industrial undertaking. One they may not be equipped for. They South Koreans already see those on the north as foreign citizens anyways. The North has been brought up to see the south and the west as a whole to be inferior, raised on near diametrically opposing ideologies. That's not something that can really be changed. Besides, South absorbing the north would mean surrendering some political power and influence to the north. Would they really do that? 

People use the Germany's as an example. East and west reunited after 40 years. But it wasn't a smooth transition. The state run enterprises and currency of the east essentially collapsed overnight when the west took over. It wasn't reorganization. It wasn't even rebuilding. It was complete replacement of everything the USSR set up. And even today, over a quarter century later, there's still division. The east largely voting differently than much of the west. The economy not quite as strong. 

And this is considering that East Germans in the 1950s had it much, much better than North Koreans do even today. Any attempts to merge will be far more complicated and difficult than even the tumultuous one West Germany had with the east. The two Koreas have gone on far different paths, longer than their German counterparts, so is the example really all that valid? 

Most likely, what this will result in is the end of the Korean war, which is technically still on going. It's just in the midst of the worlds longest ceasefire. Once that ends, I can see the demilitarized zone being disbanded and the border opening up, trade beginning between the two and most likely, a flood of immigrants and refugees to the south. It will still be two Koreas. Just ones that aren't fighting. 

[Guest]

In short: no.

This entire meeting is a facade. Kim is a mass murderer of his own people. He didn't just wake up and decide to stop doing that, and more over he has not interest in giving up his power which means no real peace can be had. Until Kim pays for his crimes peace is impossible, and since he has no interest in doing so, this entire meeting is a ruse.

[Twiggy 2,965]

1 hour ago, Denim&Venom said:

Once that ends, I can see the demilitarized zone being disbanded and the border opening up, trade beginning between the two and most likely, a flood of immigrants and refugees to the south. It will still be two Koreas. Just ones that aren't fighting. 

That would be the first step. It may eventually reunify, but that is still a long way off. China used to be just as bad as NK, but after Nixon worked with them and started engaging in trade, they slowly but surely liberalized their economy and, in many aspects, their society. China is still an authoritarian country with human rights abuses, but they have been slowly getting better over the years. The same may happen to North Korea. Except once they become economically self sufficient, the topic of reunification may come to light with a more positive take.

 

52 minutes ago, Key Sharkz said:

He didn't just wake up and decide to stop doing that, and more over he has not interest in giving up his power which means no real peace can be had.

Actually, there is a chance that he has imo.

Let’s say that negotiations fall through and Kim goes back to being King Fuck of Shit Mountain. What now? Well as you are reading this, tons and tons of Western media is pouring into the country through smugglers and being sold on the black market. In a survey of a group of 350 North Korean defectors, refugees, and travelers, 92 percent said they watched foreign content on a DVD player. For many of these defectors, this information was enough to give them reason to escape, and more and more North Koreans are gaining access to this every day. It’s only a matter of time before enough of that information spreads through the ranks of the military that the biggest threat Kim will face will not be from the outside, but from the inside. Unless he pushes for change soon, a military coup is certainly in his future.

On the flip side, if he is being genuine and wants peace, then it could be a golden opportunity for himself, the North Korean people, and the world. It would not only grant the country access to trade and perhaps even tourism, but it would also grant the country access to the estimated $10 trillion dollars worth of natural resources beneath it’s feet. Resources that they do not have the means to acquire themselves. They wouldn’t even need to fully liberalize. All Kim has to do is back off to the same level of authoritarianism that China is at, and most of the Western world would likely call that a win.

Edited June 19, 2018 by Twiggy

[SDP40F amtrak 2,442]

I don't think so or maybe if does happen since there  enemies  from Korean war