2016 Electoral Map Predictions

[EquestriaGuy 1,074]

Barring any major polls showing a dramatic shift, and based on early voting trends, this is my map for the election on Tuesday. The big shocker here is NH as red, but it's definitely trending that way.

 

You can create your own here: http://www.270towin.com/

 

So post your maps!

 

[-Nobody- 519]

It was close, but I felt this was the most realistic prediction.

[Yoshi89 5,293]

Given what's been going on in the polls, I don't see why this can't happen:

 

[ARagY 1,152]

What is this? Some sort of game where you paint the US red?

Awesome. Betcha can't beat my high score.

Edited November 5, 2016 by ARagY

[Flutterbattyyy 331]

There is no way my state would go red. I live in Oregon. We love our beautiful greenery too much to sway red. 

 

Here's my prediction:

 

 

 

 

I already voted for Hillary in Oregon. Personally, I think she'll do a wonderful job. I would never vote red as a Christian, because they are adamantly against the environment, public lands (avid hiker here ), and climate change science. The only real conservative position I hold is pro-life. xD

What is this? Some sort of game where you paint the US red?

Awesome. Betcha can't beat my high score.

IMG

 

 

 

 

Looks like I might have lost: xD  

 

Oh Texas, you. 

 

Edited November 5, 2016 by ElementalFluttershee

[KiraTakahashi 748]

There is no way my state would go red. I live in Oregon. We love our beautiful greenery too much to sway red.

 

Here's my prediction:

 

 

 

 

I already voted for Hillary in Oregon. Personally, I think she'll do a wonderful job. I would never vote red as a Christian, because they are adamantly against the environment, public lands (avid hiker here ), and climate change science. The only real conservative position I hold is pro-life. xD

 

 

 

 

 

Looks like I might have lost: xD

 

Oh Texas, you.

 

Texas really knows how to make Me feel shame lol. Though in reality there really is nothing but trump this and that in my town.

[Flutterbattyyy 331]

hehe, yeah. xD

 

I just don't get why most people in Alaska would lean red. I mean, they're surrounded by incredible natural beauty. Mountains, lakes, forests, etc.

 

But a person living in Oklahoma or Texas...?, haha, I can see why they wouldn't have the connection that us nature-y people have in the west–since those middle/southeastern states lack a lot of natural beauty compared to the western half.  I'm in Oklahoma for college; great people here, but its just so flaaaaat here. xD 

Edited November 5, 2016 by ElementalFluttershee

[Anneal 2,197]

I already voted for Hillary in Oregon. Personally, I think she'll do a wonderful job. I would never vote red as a Christian, because they are adamantly against the environment, public lands (avid hiker here ), and climate change science. The only real conservative position I hold is pro-life. xD

 

 

Not really. More and more Republicans have leaned towards accepting climate change. Seen here along with a 2013 PEW Research Poll, a lot of the moderate and light conservative Republicans – in fact, nearly half – are saying climate change is happening. Around a quarter now say it's human activity. And 53% of Republican supporters described climate deniers as either "ignorant", "out of touch", or just plain "crazy". 

 

And while the Republicans are disputed over climate change support, most Republicans do approve of funding for alternate energy sources, just not completely for environmental reasons. Some believe in relying on the free market to do the environmental work, sharing the opinion with some libertarians (who are moderate for climate change but don't believe in overbearing governments as a way to solve it), citing examples of companies like Google or Tesla that have went green to fulfill consumer demand. 

 

Outside the Republican party, a good deal of conservatives support the idea of climate change anyway, so there's not much to argue with that. 

[Twiggy 2,966]

This is the current favorite map of /pol/, made going off of RCP average and estimation of turnout based on early voting.

 

[Varrack 1,080]

This is the current favorite map of /pol/, made going off of RCP average and estimation of turnout based on early voting.

 

Screenshot_32.png

 

I'm curious about PA, WI, and MI. What makes you think he will take those states?

[Twiggy 2,966]

I'm curious about PA, WI, and MI. What makes you think he will take those states?

They're all really close and they're all states that have been hit really hard by jobs going overseas. Filled to the brim with pissed off white people who despise the globalist message that D.C. and the Clintons stand for.

 

Here's the current RCP map. It's got WI leaning Clinton still with a 5.5 lead, but I expect that to close in soon. MN might go red too, but I'm not too hopeful for that atm. Didn't go for Reagan, probably won't go for Trump.

 

Edited November 5, 2016 by Twiggy

[Ziggy + Angel + Rain 11,303]

While I hope that @EquestriaGuy's prediction is correct, this is what I came up with:

[Twiggy 2,966]

While I hope that @EquestriaGuy's prediction is correct, this is what I came up with:rainbowusa.png

Even as a joke post, if California goes red, I'll put on a dress and start turning tricks in downtown San Francisco.

[Connie 320]

I'm pretty confident in my prediction.

[Twiggy 2,966]

Alternatively, the final tally is 270 Trump and 268 Hillary. One Republican elector refuses to cast his lot for Trump and casts it for Jeb Bush out of protest.

 

With neither candidate reaching 270, it goes to the house, and they vote for the president from the top 3 candidates with electoral college votes.

 

SLOW AND STEADY

 

 

 

[Varrack 1,080]

I'm predicting a blue collar turnout wave that'll cause PA and MI to flip. The primaries in both those states are indicators enough that they'll be red tomorrow.
 

 

 
 

[Yoshi89 5,293]

Not looking good for Hillary...

 

 

Trump currently leads in all the pink states. If he wins them all and one of the grey states, he'll be our 45th president.

[Luna the Great of all the Russias 2,997]

I was expecting a Clinton victory despite my preference for Trump. However, Trump so far has been doing much better than expected.

[Zyrael 1,471]

: Our vice president will be a man who believes we should defund HIV research and use the money to fund gay conversion therapy. Let that sink in. :

[Anneal 2,197]

I'm predicting a blue collar turnout wave that'll cause PA and MI to flip. The primaries in both those states are indicators enough that they'll be red tomorrow.

 

 

 

 

 

http://www.politico.com/2016-election/results/map/president?lo=ut_b1

 

Alright, that's it. I'm relying on you for electoral predictions from now on. 

[Yoshi89 5,293]

That's it! It's over! Wisconsin puts Trump over the top.

 

[Varrack 1,080]

http://www.politico.com/2016-election/results/map/president?lo=ut_b1

 

Alright, that's it. I'm relying on you for electoral predictions from now on. 

 

I got Nevada and Wisconsin wrong though. I looked over the demographics in those states.

 

Although...if none of the uncalled states flip, my 306 - 232 electoral vote prediction will be accurate

[Brightbart 268]

This is the current favorite map of /pol/, made going off of RCP average and estimation of turnout based on early voting.

 

Screenshot_32.png

This pretty good, already better than Nate Silver. 

[ChB 18,562]

I'm pretty confident in my prediction.

Pretty good prediction, I must say.

Edited November 10, 2016 by ChB

[-Nobody- 519]

It was close, but I felt this was the most realistic prediction.

Oh hey, look! I was able to correctly predict all of Trump's states.