From what I know of the show, Queen Chrysalis
Tirek is more about brute strength than playing the long game
But contrary to Tirek, Queen Chrysalis actually uses her head in combat in the earlier seasons of the show, if it wasn't for that one misstep in A Canterlot Wedding, it would have been over for Equestrians, Chrysalis would have absolute power, with nobody to challenge her power except a few greedy fools and pockets of resistance here and there, if Mane Six somehow survived, they'd likely join Zecora like in that other timeline in Cutie Remark, however.
Tirek is just a thug who wins by luck and/or raw power, and I would say Tirek underestimating Twilight Sparkle in Twilight's Kingdom was a more embarrassing loss for him than what happened with Queen Chrysalis in A Canterlot Wedding. Tirek had the perfect opportunity to destroy Twilight, and he didn't. At least with the situation with Chrysalis, Chrysalis did not have enough information to go on about her enemies, and she did try to kill Princess Celestia which showed her to be a competent fighter even though Chrysalis was clearly malicious, but Twilight Sparkle had the power of 4 Alicorns in the power against Tirek, 4, surely it is unwise for a villain to take a chance on an enemy who is capable of gathering that much power? but as been said, Tirek is not a strategist in battle, so from his perspective he had no reason to suspect that Twilight Sparkle had another trick up her hoof for the final round with that rainbow power. Twilight Sparkle knew she wasn't dealing with the smartest of enemies and she wilfully took advantage of that with that calculated risk she made with the trade, which gave me a good impression about Twilight's leadership skills.