Testing The Birthday Paradox!

[Pony Joe 583]

The Birthday Paradox states that when 23 people's birthdays are compared, the chances of 2 birthdays being identical is 50%! With 57 people, it reaches 99%!

 

So, I want to try a little experiment. For each post, put your birthday and continue the count. We will see exactly how many posts it takes for us to find a match.

 

Let's begin!

 

My birthday is March 22nd, and I will start the count at ONE.

 

Birthdays so far

 

March 22

June 6

September 1

October 31

August 25

April 3

June 18

June 29

January 28

September 9

October 14

December 8

April 28

September 1

March 27

March 10

March 22

June 20

April 29

February 25

December 15

May 30

December 8

August 25

May 26

May 13

December 31

July 8

 

 

Posts: 28

Total matches found: 4

Edited November 1, 2011 by Pony Joe

[Slendermane 477]

Hello. My birthday is June 6th, the anniversary of storming the beaches at Normandy. 2

[Finesthour 7,287]

My name is gary, and I was born September 1st. 3

[BizzarePony 199]

Andrew. October 31. Halloween, incidentally.

Three.

Edited October 16, 2011 by Doctor Stitches

[SolarFlare 21]

my name is Aylin (Mexican girl name) August 25th

Edited October 16, 2011 by solarflare

[Slictz 110]

My name is Johan and my birthday is April 3.

[Tom The Diamond 1,830]

June 18th.

 

6th count.

[Zoop 8,384]

Mike. June 29. Close, but no cigar, Tom.

 

Numero seveno.

[Discord! 179]

January 28th (8)

Edited October 16, 2011 by Discord!

[Swoop 2,278]

September nine, and it appears we've already had a post count error of two three's above, so this is no.10

[Tiaaaaa 176]

My name is Celestia and my birthday is whenever I fucking feel like it.

 

(not counting because troll post)

[Apple Bloom 2,933]

Why must we state our names?

Oh well, I'm Elvis (really, that's my name) and my birthday was yesterday, October the 14th.

 

11

[Linguz 140]

I'll give it a whirl.

 

#12 - December 8th

[Pony Joe 583]

Why must we state our names?

 

 

 

I never said you had to state your names.

 

EDIT: Crap, I did! I'm sorry, I meant to say "birthday." Honestly. I have no clue what happened.

Edited October 16, 2011 by Pony Joe

[Vinyl Scratch 262]

April 28th, 1989. Other people with that day include Jay Leno, Harper Lee, Jessica Alba, Nina from 3rd Rock, Kim Gordon and King Edward the 4th. Oh yeah, and Saddam Hussein.

[HomuraBL 851]

Ryan, I was born on september 1st...I see someone up there with that birthday as well. (13)?

Edited October 16, 2011 by RaccoonBL

[Octavia2 83]

Donovan, March 27.

 

post 17

[Pony Joe 583]

And we have our first match with only 14 posts! Let's see how long it takes for another!

[LyraHeartstrings 482]

Moop, March 10th

 

No, Moop's not my real name, but that's how I go on the interwebz and would like it to stay that way...

[(insert username) 53]

March 22.

The look of disbelief on my face was UNIMAGINABLE and INTENSE.

[Captain Marvelous 544]

june 20th

[Mare of Night 6]

Dayum, mine is April 29th. THAT CLOSE MAN, THAT CLOSE.

[Heartstrings 102]

Sebastian, February 25th.

[Pony Joe 583]

20 posts and we have 2 matches ALREADY?!

 

Looks like the BP isn't so far-fetched after all.

[FLARE 952]

8th July.

WHOO first person in july